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Decent valueActiveGolden Key · $10 · Michigan Lottery
Golden Key: Decent value. A $10 ticket pays back $7.70 on average.
▲ +0.5 pts vs launch#10 of 27 · $10 MI gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 12:32 PM
▲ +0.5 pts vs launch#10 of 27 · $10 MI gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 12:32 PM
Golden Key is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the Michigan state lottery. Its current expected value is 77.0%, up 0.5 percentage points from the launch value of 76.5%. 2 of the original 3 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 43% of the 6.3M printed tickets have been sold.
77.0%
expected return
1 in 3.86
odds of any win
2 of 3
$1M jackpots left
43%
claimed · 2.7M of 6.3M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 931,527 winning tickets still unclaimed.
16 win more than $10
$20 – $200, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
74 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 5,288 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $7.70 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$7.07 · 70.7% of price
Mid prizes $2K – $10K
$0.08 · 0.8% of price
Jackpots $1M+
$0.56 · 5.6% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
71.4%
Just 2 tickets out of 3.6M carry the $1M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
931,443 winning tickets remain in this range: 92% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
43% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Sep 2025.
6.3M
tickets printed
2.7M
tickets claimed · 43%
3.6M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
57%
67% of top prizes remain with only 57% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Michigan Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 MI peers
#10 of 27
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Michigan Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 16, 2026, 12:32 PM.
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