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Weak valueActivePICK YOUR POTION · $5 · Washington Lottery
PICK YOUR POTION: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.37 on average.
▲ +0.0 pts vs launch#3 of 23 · $5 WA games
▲ +0.0 pts vs launch#3 of 23 · $5 WA games
PICK YOUR POTION is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Washington state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.4%, up 0.0 percentage points from the launch value of 67.4%. 4 of the original 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 3% of the 1.2M printed tickets have been sold.
67.4%
expected return
1 in 3.34
odds of any win
4 of 4
$50K top prizes left
3%
claimed · 43k of 1.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 355,399 winning tickets still unclaimed.
11 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
19 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 65,853 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.37 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.20 · 63.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.17 · 3.5% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
355,389 winning tickets remain in this range: 95% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
3% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch.
1.2M
tickets printed
43k
tickets claimed · 3%
1.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
100%
Tickets left
97%
100% of top prizes remain with only 97% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Washington Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 WA peers
#3 of 23
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Washington Lottery published claim data.
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