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Weak valueActivePICK YOUR POTION · $5 · Washington Lottery
PICK YOUR POTION: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.38 on average.
▲ +0.2 pts vs launch#3 of 24 · $5 WA games
▲ +0.2 pts vs launch#3 of 24 · $5 WA games
PICK YOUR POTION is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Washington state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.6%, up 0.2 percentage points from the launch value of 67.4%. 4 of the original 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 12% of the 1.2M printed tickets have been sold.
67.6%
expected return
1 in 3.34
odds of any win
4 of 4
$50K top prizes left
12%
claimed · 153k of 1.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 322,292 winning tickets still unclaimed.
11 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
19 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 63,222 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.38 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.19 · 63.8% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.19 · 3.8% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
322,283 winning tickets remain in this range: 94% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
12% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch.
1.2M
tickets printed
153k
tickets claimed · 12%
1.1M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
100%
Tickets left
88%
100% of top prizes remain with only 88% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Washington Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 WA peers
#3 of 24
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Washington Lottery published claim data.
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