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Weak valueActiveCarnival Cash · $5 · Washington Lottery
Carnival Cash: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.32 on average.
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#8 of 23 · $5 WA games
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#8 of 23 · $5 WA games
Carnival Cash is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Washington state lottery. Its current expected value is 66.4%, down 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 67.4%. 2 of the original 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 44% of the 2.2M printed tickets have been sold.
66.4%
expected return
1 in 3.33
odds of any win
2 of 4
$50K top prizes left
44%
claimed · 942k of 2.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 367,187 winning tickets still unclaimed.
11 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
19 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 111,070 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.32 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.24 · 64.7% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.08 · 1.7% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
367,182 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
44% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
2.2M
tickets printed
942k
tickets claimed · 44%
1.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
50%
Tickets left
56%
50% of top prizes remain with 56% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Washington Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 WA peers
#8 of 23
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Washington Lottery published claim data.
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