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Weak valueActiveCarnival Cash · $5 · Washington Lottery
Carnival Cash: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.35 on average.
▼ -0.4 pts vs launch#7 of 20 · $5 WA gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:48 AM
▼ -0.4 pts vs launch#7 of 20 · $5 WA gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:48 AM
Carnival Cash is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Washington state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.0%, down 0.4 percentage points from the launch value of 67.4%. 3 of the original 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 16% of the 2.2M printed tickets have been sold.
67.0%
expected return
1 in 3.33
odds of any win
3 of 4
$50K top prizes left
16%
claimed · 350k of 2.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 545,057 winning tickets still unclaimed.
11 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
19 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 106,711 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.35 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.26 · 65.3% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.09 · 1.7% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
545,049 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
16% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
2.2M
tickets printed
350k
tickets claimed · 16%
1.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
75%
Tickets left
84%
75% of top prizes remain with 84% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Washington Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 WA peers
#7 of 20
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Washington Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 17, 2026, 6:48 AM.
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