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Weak valueActiveHOT DOG! · $5 · New York Lottery
HOT DOG!: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.27 on average.
▲ +0.6 pts vs launch#8 of 15 · $5 NY gamesUpdated Jul 28, 2026, 12:33 PM
▲ +0.6 pts vs launch#8 of 15 · $5 NY gamesUpdated Jul 28, 2026, 12:33 PM
HOT DOG! is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the New York state lottery. Its current expected value is 65.4%, up 0.6 percentage points from the launch value of 64.8%. 3 of the original 3 $500,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 16% of the 6.9M printed tickets have been sold.
65.4%
expected return
1 in 4.45
odds of any win
3 of 3
$500K top prizes left
16%
claimed · 1.1M of 6.9M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,314,889 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $5
$10 – $150, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 1,925 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.27 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.00 · 60.0% of price
Mid prizes $2K – $500K
$0.27 · 5.4% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
1,314,849 winning tickets remain in this range: 92% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
16% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
6.9M
tickets printed
1.1M
tickets claimed · 16%
5.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
100%
Tickets left
84%
100% of top prizes remain with only 84% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New York Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 NY peers
#8 of 15
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New York Lottery published claim data, updated Jul 28, 2026, 12:33 PM.
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