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Weak valueActiveHOT DOG! · $5 · New York Lottery
HOT DOG!: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.21 on average.
▼ -0.6 pts vs launch#11 of 16 · $5 NY games
▼ -0.6 pts vs launch#11 of 16 · $5 NY games
HOT DOG! is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the New York state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.2%, down 0.6 percentage points from the launch value of 64.8%. 2 of the original 3 $500,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 35% of the 6.9M printed tickets have been sold.
64.2%
expected return
1 in 4.45
odds of any win
2 of 3
$500K top prizes left
35%
claimed · 2.4M of 6.9M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,018,093 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $5
$10 – $150, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 1,922 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.21 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$2.98 · 59.5% of price
Mid prizes $2K – $500K
$0.23 · 4.7% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
1,018,062 winning tickets remain in this range: 93% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
35% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
6.9M
tickets printed
2.4M
tickets claimed · 35%
4.5M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
65%
67% of top prizes remain with only 65% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New York Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 NY peers
#11 of 16
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New York Lottery published claim data.
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