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Weak valueActiveMONOPOLY · $2 · California Lottery
MONOPOLY: Weak value. A $2 ticket pays back $1.30 on average.
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#5 of 6 · $2 CA gamesUpdated Jun 18, 2026, 12:05 AM
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#5 of 6 · $2 CA gamesUpdated Jun 18, 2026, 12:05 AM
MONOPOLY is a $2 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 65.0%, down 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 66.0%. 15 of the original 28 $30,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 48% of the 22.4M printed tickets have been sold.
65.0%
expected return
1 in 4.10
odds of any win
15 of 28
$30K top prizes left
48%
claimed · 10.7M of 22.4M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 2,853,203 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $2
$4 – $200, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $2 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 134,142 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.30 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $2 – $200
$1.26 · 62.8% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $30K
$0.04 · 2.2% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$2 – $200 wins
2,853,116 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
48% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Mar 2025.
22.4M
tickets printed
10.7M
tickets claimed · 48%
11.7M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
54%
Tickets left
52%
54% of top prizes remain with only 52% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $2 CA peers
#5 of 6
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 18, 2026, 12:05 AM.
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