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Weak valueActiveGOOOAAAL! · $2 · California Lottery
GOOOAAAL!: Weak value. A $2 ticket pays back $1.29 on average.
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#6 of 8 · $2 CA gamesUpdated Jul 28, 2026, 12:07 PM
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#6 of 8 · $2 CA gamesUpdated Jul 28, 2026, 12:07 PM
GOOOAAAL! is a $2 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.5%, down 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 65.5%. 14 of the original 20 $20,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 37% of the 12.0M printed tickets have been sold.
64.5%
expected return
1 in 4.09
odds of any win
14 of 20
$20K top prizes left
37%
claimed · 4.4M of 12M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,845,662 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $2
$3 – $100, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $2 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 13,803 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.29 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $2 – $500
$1.24 · 62.2% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $20K
$0.05 · 2.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$2 – $500 wins
1,845,582 winning tickets remain in this range: 96% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
37% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, May 2026.
12M
tickets printed
4.4M
tickets claimed · 37%
7.6M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
70%
Tickets left
63%
70% of top prizes remain with only 63% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $2 CA peers
#6 of 8
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data, updated Jul 28, 2026, 12:07 PM.
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