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Weak value
ActiveLOTERIA™ · $3 · California Lottery

LOTERIA™: Weak value. A $3 ticket pays back $1.81 on average.

-5.7 pts vs launch#5 of 5 · $3 CA gamesUpdated Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM

LOTERIA™ is a $3 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 60.3%, down 5.7 percentage points from the launch value of 66.0%. 14 of the original 78 $30,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 88% of the 47.1M printed tickets have been sold.

60.3%
expected return
1 in 3.74
odds of any win
14 of 78
$30K top prizes left
88%
claimed · 41.5M of 47.1M printed
Odds, in plain terms

If you bought 100 tickets today

Based on the 1,546,854 winning tickets still unclaimed.

16 win more than $3
$5 – $300, an actual profit
12 win their money back
a $3 prize, so you break even
72 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 86,213 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map

Where the $1.81 comes from

The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.

Small wins $3 – $300
$1.71 · 57.0% of price
Mid prizes $3K – $30K
$0.10 · 3.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$3 – $300 wins
1,546,789 winning tickets remain in this range: 95% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress

88% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there

Counting every ticket since launch, Mar 2025.

47.1M
tickets printed
41.5M
tickets claimed · 88%
5.6M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
18%
Tickets left
12%
18% of top prizes remain with only 12% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $3 CA peers
#5 of 5
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data, updated Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM.
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© 2026 · Data from official state lottery feeds