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Weak valueActive15X · $3 · California Lottery
15X: Weak value. A $3 ticket pays back $1.82 on average.
▼ -5.3 pts vs launch#4 of 5 · $3 CA gamesUpdated Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM
▼ -5.3 pts vs launch#4 of 5 · $3 CA gamesUpdated Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM
15X is a $3 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 60.7%, down 5.3 percentage points from the launch value of 66.0%. 5 of the original 37 $30,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 85% of the 22.2M printed tickets have been sold.
60.7%
expected return
1 in 3.78
odds of any win
5 of 37
$30K top prizes left
85%
claimed · 18.8M of 22.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 903,753 winning tickets still unclaimed.
16 win more than $3
$5 – $100, an actual profit
11 win their money back
a $3 prize, so you break even
73 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 12,904 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.82 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $3 – $500
$1.77 · 58.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $30K
$0.05 · 1.7% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$3 – $500 wins
903,719 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
85% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2025.
22.2M
tickets printed
18.8M
tickets claimed · 85%
3.3M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
14%
Tickets left
15%
14% of top prizes remain with 15% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $3 CA peers
#4 of 5
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data, updated Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM.
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