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Weak valueActiveYellowstone · $5 · Texas Lottery
Yellowstone: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.34 on average.
▼ -1.2 pts vs launch#10 of 22 · $5 TX gamesUpdated Aug 1, 2026, 12:50 PM
▼ -1.2 pts vs launch#10 of 22 · $5 TX gamesUpdated Aug 1, 2026, 12:50 PM
Yellowstone is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 66.8%, down 1.2 percentage points from the launch value of 68.0%. 3 of the original 5 $100,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 67% of the 7.3M printed tickets have been sold.
66.8%
expected return
1 in 4.26
odds of any win
3 of 5
$100K top prizes left
67%
claimed · 4.9M of 7.3M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 576,711 winning tickets still unclaimed.
13 win more than $5
$10 – $200, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
77 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 3,330 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.34 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.21 · 64.3% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $100K
$0.13 · 2.5% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
576,696 winning tickets remain in this range: 96% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
67% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch.
7.3M
tickets printed
4.9M
tickets claimed · 67%
2.5M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
60%
Tickets left
33%
60% of top prizes remain with only 33% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 TX peers
#10 of 22
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data, updated Aug 1, 2026, 12:50 PM.
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