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Weak valueActiveTexas Loteria · $3 · Texas Lottery
Texas Loteria: Weak value. A $3 ticket pays back $1.90 on average.
▼ -2.7 pts vs launch#3 of 4 · $3 TX games
▼ -2.7 pts vs launch#3 of 4 · $3 TX games
Texas Loteria is a $3 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 63.3%, down 2.7 percentage points from the launch value of 66.0%. 3 of the original 14 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 74% of the 32.7M printed tickets have been sold.
63.3%
expected return
1 in 4.38
odds of any win
3 of 14
$50K top prizes left
74%
claimed · 24.3M of 32.7M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,903,529 winning tickets still unclaimed.
13 win more than $3
$5 – $250, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $3 prize, so you break even
77 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 124,778 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.90 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $3 – $250
$1.86 · 62.0% of price
Mid prizes $3K – $50K
$0.04 · 1.4% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$3 – $250 wins
1,903,462 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
74% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
32.7M
tickets printed
24.3M
tickets claimed · 74%
8.4M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
21%
Tickets left
26%
21% of top prizes remain with 26% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $3 TX peers
#3 of 4
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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