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Weak value
ActiveTexas Loteria · $3 · Texas Lottery

Texas Loteria: Weak value. A $3 ticket pays back $1.94 on average.

-1.3 pts vs launch#2 of 4 · $3 TX gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:50 AM

Texas Loteria is a $3 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.7%, down 1.3 percentage points from the launch value of 66.0%. 5 of the original 14 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 61% of the 32.7M printed tickets have been sold.

64.7%
expected return
1 in 4.38
odds of any win
5 of 14
$50K top prizes left
61%
claimed · 20M of 32.7M printed
Odds, in plain terms

If you bought 100 tickets today

Based on the 2,885,166 winning tickets still unclaimed.

13 win more than $3
$5 – $250, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $3 prize, so you break even
77 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 130,512 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map

Where the $1.94 comes from

The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.

Small wins $3 – $250
$1.90 · 63.3% of price
Mid prizes $3K – $50K
$0.04 · 1.4% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$3 – $250 wins
2,885,069 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress

61% of the print run claimed

Counting every ticket since launch.

32.7M
tickets printed
20M
tickets claimed · 61%
12.7M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
36%
Tickets left
39%
36% of top prizes remain with 39% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $3 TX peers
#2 of 4
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 17, 2026, 6:50 AM.
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© 2026 · Data from official state lottery feeds