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Weak valueActiveLoteria Azul · $5 · Texas Lottery
Loteria Azul: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.24 on average.
▼ -3.2 pts vs launch#19 of 27 · $5 TX games
▼ -3.2 pts vs launch#19 of 27 · $5 TX games
Loteria Azul is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.8%, down 3.2 percentage points from the launch value of 68.0%. 1 of the original 5 $100,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 79% of the 10.1M printed tickets have been sold.
64.8%
expected return
1 in 3.83
odds of any win
1 of 5
$100K top prizes left
79%
claimed · 8M of 10.1M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 552,079 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $5
$10 – $200, an actual profit
12 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
74 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 10,510 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.24 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.17 · 63.5% of price
Mid prizes $5K – $100K
$0.07 · 1.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
552,070 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
79% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
10.1M
tickets printed
8M
tickets claimed · 79%
2.1M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
20%
Tickets left
21%
20% of top prizes remain with 21% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 TX peers
#19 of 27
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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