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Strong valueActive$5,000,000 Fortune · $100 · Texas Lottery
$5,000,000 Fortune: Strong value. A $100 ticket pays back $80.15 on average.
▲ +0.1 pts vs launch#2 of 5 · $100 TX gamesUpdated Aug 1, 2026, 12:51 PM
▲ +0.1 pts vs launch#2 of 5 · $100 TX gamesUpdated Aug 1, 2026, 12:51 PM
$5,000,000 Fortune is a $100 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 80.2%, up 0.1 percentage points from the launch value of 80.1%. 2 of the original 4 $5,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 50% of the 5.6M printed tickets have been sold.
80.2%
expected return
1 in 3.91
odds of any win
2 of 4
$5M jackpots left
50%
claimed · 2.8M of 5.6M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 728,181 winning tickets still unclaimed.
22 win more than $100
$200 or $250 or $400, an actual profit
0 win their money back
a $100 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 26 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $80.15 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $200 – $500
$68.23 · 68.2% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$8.40 · 8.4% of price
Jackpots $5M+
$3.51 · 3.5% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
76.6%
Just 2 tickets out of 2.8M carry the $5M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$200 – $500 wins
711,510 winning tickets remain in this range: 85% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
50% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
5.6M
tickets printed
2.8M
tickets claimed · 50%
2.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
50%
Tickets left
50%
50% of top prizes remain with 50% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $100 TX peers
#2 of 5
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data, updated Aug 1, 2026, 12:51 PM.
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