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Decent valueActive$5,000,000 Fortune · $100 · Texas Lottery
$5,000,000 Fortune: Decent value. A $100 ticket pays back $79.95 on average.
▼ -0.1 pts vs launch#2 of 4 · $100 TX gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:51 AM
▼ -0.1 pts vs launch#2 of 4 · $100 TX gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:51 AM
$5,000,000 Fortune is a $100 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 80.0%, down 0.1 percentage points from the launch value of 80.1%. 2 of the original 4 $5,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 47% of the 5.6M printed tickets have been sold.
80.0%
expected return
1 in 3.91
odds of any win
2 of 4
$5M jackpots left
47%
claimed · 2.6M of 5.6M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 767,549 winning tickets still unclaimed.
22 win more than $100
$200 or $250 or $400, an actual profit
0 win their money back
a $100 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 26 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $79.95 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $200 – $500
$68.23 · 68.2% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$8.38 · 8.4% of price
Jackpots $5M+
$3.33 · 3.3% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
76.6%
Just 2 tickets out of 3M carry the $5M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$200 – $500 wins
749,987 winning tickets remain in this range: 85% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
47% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
5.6M
tickets printed
2.6M
tickets claimed · 47%
3M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
50%
Tickets left
53%
50% of top prizes remain with 53% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $100 TX peers
#2 of 4
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
1
$20 Million Supreme
83.3%
2
$5,000,000 Fortune
80.0%
3
$5 Million Titanium Black
79.9%
4
Loteria Supreme
79.0%
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 17, 2026, 6:51 AM.
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