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Weak valueActiveLUCKY BREAK · $5 · Rhode Island Lottery
LUCKY BREAK: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.02 on average.
▼ -7.6 pts vs launch#21 of 24 · $5 RI gamesUpdated Jul 31, 2026, 12:47 PM
▼ -7.6 pts vs launch#21 of 24 · $5 RI gamesUpdated Jul 31, 2026, 12:47 PM
LUCKY BREAK is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Rhode Island state lottery. Its current expected value is 60.4%, down 7.6 percentage points from the launch value of 68.0%. 0 of the original 2 $30,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 84% of the 0.6M printed tickets have been sold.
60.4%
expected return
1 in 3.85
odds of any win
0 of 2
$30K top prizes left
84%
claimed · 504k of 602k printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 25,514 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $5
$10 – $200, an actual profit
12 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
74 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 98,231 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.02 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.02 · 60.4% of price
Mid prizes $30K
$0.00 · 0.0% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
25,514 winning tickets remain in this range: 100% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
84% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jan 2025.
602k
tickets printed
504k
tickets claimed · 84%
98k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
0%
Tickets left
16%
0% of top prizes remain with 16% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Rhode Island Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 RI peers
#21 of 24
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Rhode Island Lottery published claim data, updated Jul 31, 2026, 12:47 PM.
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