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Weak valueActiveLOTERIA® Fiesta · $5 · North Carolina Lottery
LOTERIA® Fiesta: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.36 on average.
▼ -1.8 pts vs launch#11 of 20 · $5 NC games
▼ -1.8 pts vs launch#11 of 20 · $5 NC games
LOTERIA® Fiesta is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the North Carolina state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.2%, down 1.8 percentage points from the launch value of 69.0%. 2 of the original 6 $150,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 84% of the 7.3M printed tickets have been sold.
67.2%
expected return
1 in 3.86
odds of any win
2 of 6
$150K top prizes left
84%
claimed · 6.1M of 7.3M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 309,480 winning tickets still unclaimed.
15 win more than $5
$10 – $300, an actual profit
11 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
74 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 50,098 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.36 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.10 · 62.0% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $150K
$0.26 · 5.2% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
309,476 winning tickets remain in this range: 92% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
84% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2025.
7.3M
tickets printed
6.1M
tickets claimed · 84%
1.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
33%
Tickets left
16%
33% of top prizes remain with only 16% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
North Carolina Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 NC peers
#11 of 20
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from North Carolina Lottery published claim data.
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