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Weak valueActiveINSTANT $500 · $10 · New York Lottery
INSTANT $500: Weak value. A $10 ticket pays back $6.46 on average.
▼ -3.6 pts vs launch#11 of 12 · $10 NY gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 6:30 PM
▼ -3.6 pts vs launch#11 of 12 · $10 NY gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 6:30 PM
INSTANT $500 is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the New York state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.6%, down 3.6 percentage points from the launch value of 68.2%. 3,392 of the original 56,773 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 93% of the 18.5M printed tickets have been sold.
64.6%
expected return
1 in 4.19
odds of any win
3,392 of 56,773
$500 top prizes left
93%
claimed · 17.3M of 18.5M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 294,867 winning tickets still unclaimed.
13 win more than $10
$15 – $100, an actual profit
11 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 359 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $6.46 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$6.46 · 64.6% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
294,867 winning tickets remain in this range: 100% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
93% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Mar 2023.
18.5M
tickets printed
17.3M
tickets claimed · 93%
1.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
6%
Tickets left
7%
6% of top prizes remain with 7% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New York Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 NY peers
#11 of 12
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New York Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 16, 2026, 6:30 PM.
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