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Poor valueActiveHit $500 · $10 · New Mexico Lottery
Hit $500: Poor value. A $10 ticket pays back $5.05 on average.
▼ -10.0 pts vs launch#8 of 9 · $10 NM gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:04 AM
▼ -10.0 pts vs launch#8 of 9 · $10 NM gamesUpdated Jun 17, 2026, 6:04 AM
Hit $500 is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the New Mexico state lottery. Its current expected value is 50.5%, down 10.0 percentage points from the launch value of 60.5%. 4 of the original 300 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 95% of the 0.4M printed tickets have been sold.
50.5%
expected return
1 in 3.30
odds of any win
4 of 300
$500 top prizes left
95%
claimed · 348k of 366k printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 5,418 winning tickets still unclaimed.
15 win more than $10
$15 – $250, an actual profit
16 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
69 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 4,467 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $5.05 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$5.05 · 50.5% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
5,418 winning tickets remain in this range: 100% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
95% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2025.
366k
tickets printed
348k
tickets claimed · 95%
18k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
1%
Tickets left
5%
1% of top prizes remain with 5% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New Mexico Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 NM peers
#8 of 9
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New Mexico Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 17, 2026, 6:04 AM.
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