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Poor valueActiveHit $500 · $10 · New Mexico Lottery
Hit $500: Poor value. A $10 ticket pays back $4.93 on average.
▼ -11.2 pts vs launch#7 of 8 · $10 NM games
▼ -11.2 pts vs launch#7 of 8 · $10 NM games
Hit $500 is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the New Mexico state lottery. Its current expected value is 49.3%, down 11.2 percentage points from the launch value of 60.5%. 3 of the original 300 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 96% of the 0.4M printed tickets have been sold.
49.3%
expected return
1 in 3.30
odds of any win
3 of 300
$500 top prizes left
96%
claimed · 351k of 366k printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 4,645 winning tickets still unclaimed.
15 win more than $10
$15 – $250, an actual profit
16 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
69 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 5,106 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $4.93 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$4.93 · 49.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
4,645 winning tickets remain in this range: 100% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
96% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2025.
366k
tickets printed
351k
tickets claimed · 96%
15k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
1%
Tickets left
4%
1% of top prizes remain with 4% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New Mexico Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 NM peers
#7 of 8
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New Mexico Lottery published claim data.
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