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Poor valueActiveFiery 5s · $5 · New Mexico Lottery
Fiery 5s: Poor value. A $5 ticket pays back $2.72 on average.
▼ -3.8 pts vs launch#8 of 10 · $5 NM games
▼ -3.8 pts vs launch#8 of 10 · $5 NM games
Fiery 5s is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the New Mexico state lottery. Its current expected value is 54.4%, down 3.8 percentage points from the launch value of 58.2%. 1 of the original 3 $5000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 86% of the 0.5M printed tickets have been sold.
54.4%
expected return
1 in 3.83
odds of any win
1 of 3
$5K top prizes left
86%
claimed · 415k of 485k printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 18,236 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
15 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
73 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 14,005 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $2.72 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$2.65 · 53.0% of price
Mid prizes $5K
$0.07 · 1.4% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
18,235 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
86% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Jan 2026.
485k
tickets printed
415k
tickets claimed · 86%
70k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
33%
Tickets left
14%
33% of top prizes remain with only 14% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New Mexico Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 NM peers
#8 of 10
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New Mexico Lottery published claim data.
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