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Poor valueActive$5,000 Grande · $2 · New Mexico Lottery
$5,000 Grande: Poor value. A $2 ticket pays back $1.04 on average.
▼ -2.0 pts vs launch#1 of 10 · $2 NM games
▼ -2.0 pts vs launch#1 of 10 · $2 NM games
$5,000 Grande is a $2 scratch-off ticket from the New Mexico state lottery. Its current expected value is 52.0%, down 2.0 percentage points from the launch value of 54.0%. 3 of the original 3 $5,000.00 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 14% of the 0.5M printed tickets have been sold.
52.0%
expected return
1 in 3.99
odds of any win
3 of 3
$5K top prizes left
14%
claimed · 68k of 493k printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 102,949 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $2
$3 – $100, an actual profit
12 win their money back
a $2 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 141,866 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.04 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $2 – $100
$1.01 · 50.4% of price
Mid prizes $5K
$0.03 · 1.6% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$2 – $100 wins
102,946 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
14% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
493k
tickets printed
68k
tickets claimed · 14%
426k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
100%
Tickets left
86%
100% of top prizes remain with only 86% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New Mexico Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $2 NM peers
#1 of 10
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New Mexico Lottery published claim data.
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