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Weak valueActiveHoliday Doubler · $2 · Michigan Lottery
Holiday Doubler: Weak value. A $2 ticket pays back $1.23 on average.
▼ -1.5 pts vs launch#15 of 17 · $2 MI gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 12:31 PM
▼ -1.5 pts vs launch#15 of 17 · $2 MI gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 12:31 PM
Holiday Doubler is a $2 scratch-off ticket from the Michigan state lottery. Its current expected value is 61.5%, down 1.5 percentage points from the launch value of 63.0%. 1 of the original 3 $10,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 54% of the 8.4M printed tickets have been sold.
61.5%
expected return
1 in 4.46
odds of any win
1 of 3
$10K top prizes left
54%
claimed · 4.6M of 8.4M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 856,636 winning tickets still unclaimed.
13 win more than $2
$5 – $100, an actual profit
9 win their money back
a $2 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 636,822 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.23 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $2 – $100
$1.23 · 61.3% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $10K
$0.00 · 0.2% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$2 – $100 wins
856,630 winning tickets remain in this range: 100% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
54% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Oct 2025.
8.4M
tickets printed
4.6M
tickets claimed · 54%
3.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
33%
Tickets left
46%
33% of top prizes remain with 46% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Michigan Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $2 MI peers
#15 of 17
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Michigan Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 16, 2026, 12:31 PM.
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