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Strong valueActive$4,000,000 Winner · $30 · Michigan Lottery
$4,000,000 Winner: Strong value. A $30 ticket pays back $24.21 on average.
▲ +1.0 pts vs launch#6 of 10 · $30 MI gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 PM
▲ +1.0 pts vs launch#6 of 10 · $30 MI gamesUpdated Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 PM
$4,000,000 Winner is a $30 scratch-off ticket from the Michigan state lottery. Its current expected value is 80.7%, up 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 79.7%. 2 of the original 3 $4,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 45% of the 6.9M printed tickets have been sold.
80.7%
expected return
1 in 3.43
odds of any win
2 of 3
$4M jackpots left
45%
claimed · 3.1M of 6.9M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,112,705 winning tickets still unclaimed.
19 win more than $30
$50 – $300, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $30 prize, so you break even
71 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 832 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $24.21 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $30 – $500
$21.85 · 72.8% of price
Mid prizes $5K – $15K
$0.26 · 0.9% of price
Jackpots $4M+
$2.10 · 7.0% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
73.7%
Just 2 tickets out of 3.8M carry the $4M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$30 – $500 wins
1,112,548 winning tickets remain in this range: 90% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
45% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Dec 2023.
6.9M
tickets printed
3.1M
tickets claimed · 45%
3.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
55%
67% of top prizes remain with only 55% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Michigan Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $30 MI peers
#6 of 10
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Michigan Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 PM.
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