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Weak valueActiveWinner Winner Chicken Dinner · $5 · California Lottery
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.27 on average.
▼ -3.8 pts vs launch#8 of 9 · $5 CA gamesUpdated Jun 18, 2026, 12:05 AM
▼ -3.8 pts vs launch#8 of 9 · $5 CA gamesUpdated Jun 18, 2026, 12:05 AM
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 65.4%, down 3.8 percentage points from the launch value of 69.2%. 2 of the original 15 $250,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 70% of the 18.4M printed tickets have been sold.
65.4%
expected return
1 in 4.77
odds of any win
2 of 15
$250K top prizes left
70%
claimed · 12.9M of 18.4M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,160,250 winning tickets still unclaimed.
13 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
8 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
79 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 2,533 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.27 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.09 · 61.8% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $250K
$0.18 · 3.6% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
1,159,837 winning tickets remain in this range: 95% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
70% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2024.
18.4M
tickets printed
12.9M
tickets claimed · 70%
5.4M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
13%
Tickets left
30%
13% of top prizes remain with 30% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 CA peers
#8 of 9
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 18, 2026, 12:05 AM.
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