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Decent valueActive200X · $30 · California Lottery
200X: Decent value. A $30 ticket pays back $23.96 on average.
▲ +0.2 pts vs launch#2 of 3 · $30 CA games
▲ +0.2 pts vs launch#2 of 3 · $30 CA games
200X is a $30 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 79.9%, up 0.2 percentage points from the launch value of 79.7%. 4 of the original 5 $10,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 17% of the 15.0M printed tickets have been sold.
79.9%
expected return
1 in 2.71
odds of any win
4 of 5
$10M jackpots left
17%
claimed · 2.6M of 15M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 4,573,411 winning tickets still unclaimed.
20 win more than $30
$40 – $400, an actual profit
17 win their money back
a $30 prize, so you break even
63 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 356 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $23.96 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $30 – $500
$18.58 · 61.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $750K
$2.15 · 7.2% of price
Jackpots $10M+
$3.23 · 10.8% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
69.1%
Just 4 tickets out of 12.4M carry the $10M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$30 – $500 wins
4,559,335 winning tickets remain in this range: 78% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
17% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
15M
tickets printed
2.6M
tickets claimed · 17%
12.4M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
80%
Tickets left
83%
80% of top prizes remain with 83% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $30 CA peers
#2 of 3
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
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