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Average valueActive$1,000,000 Poker · $10 · California Lottery
$1,000,000 Poker: Average value. A $10 ticket pays back $7.37 on average.
▼ -0.9 pts vs launch#6 of 10 · $10 CA games
▼ -0.9 pts vs launch#6 of 10 · $10 CA games
$1,000,000 Poker is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 73.7%, down 0.9 percentage points from the launch value of 74.6%. 10 of the original 18 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 40% of the 21.6M printed tickets have been sold.
73.7%
expected return
1 in 3.50
odds of any win
10 of 18
$1M jackpots left
40%
claimed · 8.6M of 21.6M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 3,702,556 winning tickets still unclaimed.
22 win more than $10
$15 – $200, an actual profit
6 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
72 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 2,482 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $7.37 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$6.49 · 64.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $20K
$0.11 · 1.1% of price
Jackpots $1M+
$0.77 · 7.7% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
66.0%
Just 10 tickets out of 13M carry the $1M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
3,701,649 winning tickets remain in this range: 88% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
40% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Apr 2026.
21.6M
tickets printed
8.6M
tickets claimed · 40%
13M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
56%
Tickets left
60%
56% of top prizes remain with 60% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 CA peers
#6 of 10
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
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