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Weak value
ActiveLotería Grande · $5 · Arizona Lottery

Lotería Grande: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.36 on average.

▼ -1.2 pts vs launch#8 of 12 · $5 AZ games

Lotería Grande is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Arizona state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.2%, down 1.2 percentage points from the launch value of 68.4%. 4 of the original 13 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 80% of the 4.1M printed tickets have been sold.

67.2%
expected return
1 in 3.42
odds of any win
4 of 13
$50K top prizes left
80%
claimed · 3.3M of 4.1M printed
Odds, in plain terms

If you bought 100 tickets today

Based on the 238,460 winning tickets still unclaimed.

14 win more than $5
$10 – $250, an actual profit
16 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 15,991 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map

Where the $3.36 comes from

The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.

Small wins $5 – $500
$3.10 · 62.0% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.26 · 5.2% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
238,445 winning tickets remain in this range: 92% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress

80% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there

Counting every ticket since launch, Aug 2025.

4.1M
tickets printed
3.3M
tickets claimed · 80%
816k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
31%
Tickets left
20%
31% of top prizes remain with only 20% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Arizona Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Figures from Arizona Lottery published claim data.
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Scratchstats
© 2026 · Data from official state lottery feeds